People have bought Blu-ray recorders and media since a few years ago. Millions of peole are daily enjoying HDTV including myself. (I have access to literally terabytes of HD contents, thousands of hours video of news, drama, movies, documentaries, etc.)
It took much less time for DVD to have more than 10 million home-recording users than for CD. It will take even less time for Blu-ray and
HD-DVD to pass 10 million. Prices will also fall in an even more aggressive pattern. We are already witnessing at this stage both Blu-ray and HD-DVD talking about 15-50GB media getting as cheap as the current 0.7GB and 4.7GB media. So it's just all a matter of when you become ready to adopt the newer technology standards to meet your needs. For me, conventional DVDs are too outdated when US$100 HDDs have more than 200GB space. It's so much easier for almost anyone to order and connect a few 250GB-500GB SATA II HDDs than to have a DVD recorder/burner and burn hundreds or thousands of DVD recordable media. Thus, the biggest effective competitions for both Blu-ray and HD-DVD come from the HDD and flash memory industry. For people whose backup needs go on a much smaller scale, simple 52x CD writers and 52x CD-R media should do. They cost under US$20 per drive and under US$0.1 per media in volume and just a little more in retail. Some of the people her have owned DVD writers for a few years to several years when DVD writers costed more than what HD-DVD and Blu-ray writers will cost by the end of 2005 or early 2006. They also paid like US$10 for a simple 4.7GB "2x" or "2.4x" media.